Free MLB Picks & Predictions - Today's Best Expert MLB Bets (2024)

The lefty has hit the Under on this total in three of his last four starts and is seeing a velo dip over that stretch. He needed 88 pitches to get just 13 outs vs. the Orioles four starts ago and the bullpen is ready today after using the pen lightly yesterday. In his last start, the Pirates had 8 of 20 balls in play go for 100+ mph. He is currently not the same pitcher from the beginning of the season. Covers projects for 15.8 total outs today with a pitch count in the low 90s.

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Josh Inglis - Pick Made 3 hrs, 15 min ago.

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This is a big spot for Orioles rookie lefty Cade Povich. He’s been lighting it up in the minors, but there are sure to be nerves in his first start in the majors as he faces the likes of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette. The Blue Jays strung together nine hits last night, including a timely three-hit effort from Justin Turner, and I see the hosts playing their part in the scoring here. Then there’s Yusei Kikuchi, who’s coming off tough outings in his past two starts. The Pirates jumped on him early over the weekend and he only lasted three innings in his prior appearance, a 14-11 loss to the Tigers. That’s hardly ideal form to bring into a matchup against a heavyweight Baltimore offense that’s tied for first in home runs this year (92).

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Tom Oldfield - Pick Made 1 hrs, 11 min ago.

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Falter sports a rock-solid 3.22 ERA and 0.95 WHIP, but it’s fuelled by an unsustainably low .195 BABIP, and his 4.72 xFIP is even higher than last year’s 4.56 mark when he posted a 5.36 ERA.Los Angeles also ranks second in both wOBA (.346) and wRC+ (129) against left-handed pitchers, soI’m expecting LA to have a solid day at the dish and make it a short stay on the hill for Falter.

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Neil Parker - Pick Made 2 hrs, 59 min ago.

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Hernandez should never be shorter than O'Neil Cruz to go hitless but O'Neil is priced at +160 on his Under 0.5 today. The veteran utility guy is losing playing time of late and could get the bat taken out of his hand if he does start. Bailey Falter has been dealing of late and Hernandez is 4-for-29 over his last 10 games. This is a big price for a guy hitting .198.

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Josh Inglis - Pick Made 28 min ago.

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The White Sox have the worst wOBA (.276) and wRC+ (77) against right-handed pitchers in the majors, and Houck has been a force since abandoning his four-seam fastball over the winter. He's third in ERA (1.89), eighth in xFIP (2.89) and thrown the 10th-most innings (78) among qualified starters. Houck has also dropped to a 4.9% walk rate after posting an 8.9% mark last year, and he's especially tough on right-handed batters with a 2.48 xFIP and 25.9% K-BB%.

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Neil Parker - Pick Made 1 hrs, 7 min ago.

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I'm hitting Peralta again today to go hitless after an 0-for-3 outing last night including a late pinch hit. He has been pulled in four of five starts this year and has a hit in just one of his 10 games. Arizona has a ready lefty in Joe Mantiply who could eat the middle innings. This is a great price for a guy with a giant pinch-hit risk and who is hitting 70 points below his weight.

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Josh Inglis - Pick Made 34 min ago.

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Singer has allowed a .279 batting average and a .778 OPS over his last four starts. Meanwhile, six players in the Guardians' projected lineup have an expected batting average over .300 and an expected slugging percentage over .500 against the Royals hurler. Covers Prop Projections have Singer at 5.9 hits allowed, so at +115, we’re getting some nice value with the Over.

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Andrew Caley - Pick Made 22 hrs, 22 min ago.

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